A global horizon scan of the future impacts of robotics and autonomous systems on urban ecosystems

Article

Goddard, M. A., Davies, Z. G., Guenat, S., Ferguson, M. J., Fisher, J. C., Akanni, A., Ahjokoski, T., Anderson, P. M. L., Angeoletto, F., Antoniou, C., Bates, A. J., Barkwith, A., Berland, A., Bouch, C. J., Rega-Brodsky, C. C., Byrne, L. B., Cameron, D., Canavan, R., Chapman, T., Connop, S., Crossland, S., Dade, M. C., Dawson, D. A., Dobbs, C., Downs, C. T., Ellis, E. C., Escobedo, F. J., Gobster, P., Gulsrud, N. M., Guneralp, B., Hahs, A. K., Hale, J. D., Hassall, C., Hedblom, M., Hochuli, D. F., Inkinen, T., Ioja, I-C., Kendal, D., Knowland, T., Kowarik, I., Langdale, S. J., Lerman, S. B., MacGregor-Fors, I., Manning, P., Massini, P., McLean, S., Mkwambisi, D. D., Ossola, A., Luque, G. P., Pérez-Urrestarazu, L., Perini, K., Perry, G., Pett, T. J., Plummer, K. E., Radji, R. A., Roll, U., Potts, S. G., Rumble, H., Sadler, J. P., de Saille, S., Sautter, S., Scott, C. E., Shwartz, A., Smith, T., Snep, R. P. H., Soulsbury, C. D., Stanley, M. C., Van de Voorde, T., Venn, S. J., Warren, P. H., Washbourne, C-L., Whitling, M., Williams, N. S. G., Yang, J., Yeshitela, K., Yocom, K. P. and Dallimer, M. 2020. A global horizon scan of the future impacts of robotics and autonomous systems on urban ecosystems. Nature Ecology and Evolution. 5, p. 219–230. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-020-01358-z
AuthorsGoddard, M. A., Davies, Z. G., Guenat, S., Ferguson, M. J., Fisher, J. C., Akanni, A., Ahjokoski, T., Anderson, P. M. L., Angeoletto, F., Antoniou, C., Bates, A. J., Barkwith, A., Berland, A., Bouch, C. J., Rega-Brodsky, C. C., Byrne, L. B., Cameron, D., Canavan, R., Chapman, T., Connop, S., Crossland, S., Dade, M. C., Dawson, D. A., Dobbs, C., Downs, C. T., Ellis, E. C., Escobedo, F. J., Gobster, P., Gulsrud, N. M., Guneralp, B., Hahs, A. K., Hale, J. D., Hassall, C., Hedblom, M., Hochuli, D. F., Inkinen, T., Ioja, I-C., Kendal, D., Knowland, T., Kowarik, I., Langdale, S. J., Lerman, S. B., MacGregor-Fors, I., Manning, P., Massini, P., McLean, S., Mkwambisi, D. D., Ossola, A., Luque, G. P., Pérez-Urrestarazu, L., Perini, K., Perry, G., Pett, T. J., Plummer, K. E., Radji, R. A., Roll, U., Potts, S. G., Rumble, H., Sadler, J. P., de Saille, S., Sautter, S., Scott, C. E., Shwartz, A., Smith, T., Snep, R. P. H., Soulsbury, C. D., Stanley, M. C., Van de Voorde, T., Venn, S. J., Warren, P. H., Washbourne, C-L., Whitling, M., Williams, N. S. G., Yang, J., Yeshitela, K., Yocom, K. P. and Dallimer, M.
Abstract

Technology is transforming societies worldwide. A significant innovation is the emergence of robotics and autonomous systems (RAS), which have the potential to revolutionise cities for both people and nature. Nonetheless, the opportunities and challenges associated with RAS for urban ecosystems have yet to be considered systematically. Here, we report the findings of an online horizon scan involving 170 expert participants from 35 countries. We conclude that RAS are likely to transform land-use, transport systems and human-nature interactions. The prioritised opportunities were primarily centred on the deployment of RAS for monitoring and management of biodiversity and ecosystems. Fewer challenges were prioritised. Those that were emphasised concerns surrounding waste from unrecovered RAS, and the quality and interpretation of RAS-collected data. Although the future impacts of RAS for urban ecosystems are hard to predict, examining potentially important developments early is essential if we are to avoid detrimental consequences, but fully realise the benefits.

Journal Nature Ecology and Evolution
Journal citation5, p. 219–230
ISSN2397-334X
Year2020
PublisherNature Research
Accepted author manuscript
License
File Access Level
Anyone
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-020-01358-z
Publication dates
Online04 Jan 2021
Publication process dates
Accepted22 Oct 2020
Deposited29 Oct 2020
FunderEngineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC)
European Research Council
Copyright holder© 2020 The Authors
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The role of dietary breadth in national bumblebee (Bombus) declines: Simple correlation?
Connop, S., Hill, Tom, Steer, Jonathan and Shaw, Phil 2010. The role of dietary breadth in national bumblebee (Bombus) declines: Simple correlation? Biological Conservation. 143 (11), pp. 2739-2746. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2010.07.021
University of East London: the 2015 biodiversity update
Clough, J. and Connop, S. 2016. University of East London: the 2015 biodiversity update. University of East London. https://doi.org/10.15123/PUB.5235
Predicting bee community responses to land-use changes: Effects of geographic and taxonomic biases
De Palma, Adriana, Abrahamczyk, Stefan, Aizen, Marcelo A., Albrecht, Matthias, Basset, Yves, Bates, Adam, Blake, Robin J., Boutin, Céline, Bugter, Rob, Connop, S., Cruz-López, Leopoldo, Cunningham, Saul A., Darvill, Ben, Diekötter, Tim, Dorn, Silvia, Downing, Nicola, Entling, Martin H., Farwig, Nina, Felicioli, Antonio, Fonte, Steven J., Fowler, Robert, Franzén, Markus, Goulson, Dave, Grass, Ingo, Hanley, Mick E., Hendrix, Stephen D., Herrmann, Farina, Herzog, Felix, Holzschuh, Andrea, Jauker, Birgit, Kessler, Michael, Knight, M. E., Kruess, Andreas, Lavelle, Patrick, Le Féon, Violette, Lentini, Pia, Malone, Louise A., Marshall, Jon, Pachón, Eliana Martínez, McFrederick, Quinn S., Morales, Carolina L., Mudri-Stojnic, Sonja, Nates-Parra, Guiomar, Nilsson, Sven G., Öckinger, Erik, Osgathorpe, Lynne, Parra-H, Alejandro, Peres, Carlos A., Persson, Anna S., Petanidou, Theodora, Poveda, Katja, Power, Eileen F., Quaranta, Marino, Quintero, Carolina, Rader, Romina, Richards, Miriam H., Roulston, T’ai, Rousseau, Laurent, Sadler, Jonathan P., Samnegård, Ulrika, Schellhorn, Nancy A., Schüepp, Christof, Schweiger, Oliver, Smith-Pardo, Allan H., Steffan-Dewenter, Ingolf, Stout, Jane C., Tonietto, Rebecca K., Tscharntke, Teja, Tylianakis, Jason M., Verboven, Hans A. F., Vergara, Carlos H., Verhulst, Jort, Westphal, Catrin, Yoon, Hyung Joo and Purvis, Andy 2016. Predicting bee community responses to land-use changes: Effects of geographic and taxonomic biases. Scientific Reports. 6, p. 31153. https://doi.org/10.1038/srep31153
Multidisciplinary urban landscape design guidelines: Barking Riverside green infrastructure opportunities
Connop, S., Clough, Jack and Nash, Caroline 2016. Multidisciplinary urban landscape design guidelines: Barking Riverside green infrastructure opportunities. London University of East London. https://doi.org/10.15123/PUB.4914
Hadleigh Park priority species habitat assessment
Connop, S. and Clough, J. 2016. Hadleigh Park priority species habitat assessment. London University of East London. https://doi.org/10.15123/PUB.4887
Renaturing cities using a regionally-focused biodiversity-led multifunctional benefits approach to urban green infrastructure
Connop, S., Vandergert, P., Eisenberg, Bernd, Collier, Marcus J., Nash, Caroline, Clough, Jack and Newport, D. 2016. Renaturing cities using a regionally-focused biodiversity-led multifunctional benefits approach to urban green infrastructure. Environmental Science & Policy. 62 (Aug.), pp. 99-111. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2016.01.013
Ecomimicry for Barking Riverside: Achieving locally contextualised biodiversity-led multifunctional urban green infrastructure
Connop, S. and Nash, C. 2016. Ecomimicry for Barking Riverside: Achieving locally contextualised biodiversity-led multifunctional urban green infrastructure. London University of East London. https://doi.org/10.15123/PUB.4913
Using recycled aggregates in green roof substrates for plant diversity
Molineux, C., Gange, Alan C., Connop, S. and Newport, D. 2015. Using recycled aggregates in green roof substrates for plant diversity. Ecological Engineering. 82 (Sep.), pp. 596-604. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoleng.2015.05.036
Initial insights on the biodiversity potential of biosolar roofs: A London Olympic Park green roof case study
Nash, C, Clough, J., Gedge, D, Lindsay, R., Newport, D., Ciupala, A. and Connop, S. 2015. Initial insights on the biodiversity potential of biosolar roofs: A London Olympic Park green roof case study. Israel Journal of Ecology and Evolution; special issue "Integrating ecology into green roof research". 62 (1-2), pp. 74-87. https://doi.org/10.1080/15659801.2015.1045791
The PREDICTS database: a global database of how local terrestrial biodiversity responds to human impacts
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Manipulating soil microbial communities in extensive green roof substrates
Molineux, C., Connop, S. and Gange, Alan 2014. Manipulating soil microbial communities in extensive green roof substrates. Science of the Total Environment. 493, pp. 632-638.
Are microbial communities in green roof substrates comparable to those in post-industrial sites?—a preliminary study.
Molineux, C., Gange, Alan, Connop, S. and Newport, D. 2015. Are microbial communities in green roof substrates comparable to those in post-industrial sites?—a preliminary study. Urban Ecosystems. 18 (4), pp. 1245-1260. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11252-015-0450-z
Bauxite residue (Red mud) as a pulverised fuel ash substitute in the manufacture of lightweight aggregate
Molineux, C., Newport, D., Ayati, B., Wang, C., Connop, S. and Green, J. E. 2015. Bauxite residue (Red mud) as a pulverised fuel ash substitute in the manufacture of lightweight aggregate. Journal of Cleaner Production. 112 (1), pp. 401-408. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2015.09.024
Barking Riverside Green Roof Experiment: Phase 2
Connop, S. and Nash, Caroline 2014. Barking Riverside Green Roof Experiment: Phase 2. London University of East London.
TURAS Multidisciplinary urban landscape design guidelines: Poplar HARCA - Carradale House
Connop, S., Clough, Jack and Nash, Caroline 2013. TURAS Multidisciplinary urban landscape design guidelines: Poplar HARCA - Carradale House. London University of East London.
TURAS green roof design guidelines: Maximising ecosystem service provision through regional design for biodiversity
Connop, S., Gedge, Dusty, Kadas, Gyongyver, Nash, Caroline, Owczareck, Kinga and Newport, D. 2013. TURAS green roof design guidelines: Maximising ecosystem service provision through regional design for biodiversity. London University of East London.
Transitioning to resilience and sustainability in urban communities
Collier, Marcus J., Nedović-Budić, Zorica, Aerts, Jeroen, Connop, S., Foley, Dermot, Foley, Karen, Newport, D., McQuaid, Siobhán, Slaev, Aleksander and Verburg, Peter 2013. Transitioning to resilience and sustainability in urban communities. Cities.
Microsatellite analysis reveals the spatial dynamics of Bombus humilis and Bombus sylvarum
Connop, S. and Steer, Jonathan 2010. Microsatellite analysis reveals the spatial dynamics of Bombus humilis and Bombus sylvarum. Insect Conservation and Diversity. 4 (3), pp. 212-221.
University of East London: the biodiversity evidence‐base
Freeman, Jamie, Lindsay, R., Marr, Melissa and Connop, S. 2010. University of East London: the biodiversity evidence‐base. London University of East London.