Galloping Gertie and the Precautionary Principle – How is Environmental Impact Assessed?

Book chapter

Lindsay, R. 1995. Galloping Gertie and the Precautionary Principle – How is Environmental Impact Assessed? in: Science for the Earth: Can Science Make the World a Better Place? Chichester Wiley. pp. 197-236
AuthorsLindsay, R.
Abstract

There should be a law which states that every scientist intending to carry out an environmental impact
assessment (EIA) must first be presented with a statue of a dog. Not just any animal, of course; the
statue, or more properly a memorial, would be of a dog which once belonged to the daughter of Leonard
Coatsworth from Washington State, in the USA. The dog's name was Tubby and, alas, poor Tubby was
killed by Galloping Gertie on a November morning in 1940.

Predictions for much more than 10-20 years hence, based on present-day models, have a
significant probability of ultimately proving to be, if not wrong, then at least not quite right. The greater
the complexity of the system being modelled, the greater the probability that this will prove to be so. It is
a fact which environmental consultants would do well to consider before making unduly optimistic
predictions about the likely impact of a particular development. They should also reflect on the fate of
poor Tubby.

Book titleScience for the Earth: Can Science Make the World a Better Place?
Page range197-236
Year1995
PublisherWiley
Publication dates
Print1995
Publication process dates
Deposited11 Dec 2014
Place of publicationChichester
ISBN9780471952848
Web address (URL)http://youtu.be/XggxeuFDaDU
Additional information

A newsreel film of Galloping Gertie is available on YouTube at http://youtu.be/XggxeuFDaDU.

Accepted author manuscript
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Peat Bog Ecosystems: Domestic peat extraction
Lindsay, R., Birnie, Richard and Clough, Jack 2014. Peat Bog Ecosystems: Domestic peat extraction. Edinburgh International Union for the Conservation of Nature.
Peat Bog Ecosystems: Commercial peat extraction
Lindsay, R., Birnie, Richard and Clough, Jack 2014. Peat Bog Ecosystems: Commercial peat extraction. Edinburgh International Union for the Conservation of Nature.
Peat Bog Ecosystems: Burning
Lindsay, R., Birnie, Richard and Clough, Jack 2014. Peat Bog Ecosystems: Burning. Edinburgh International Union for the Conservation of Nature.
An Historical Survey of Lowland Raised Mires, Great Britain
Bragg, O.M., Lindsay, R. and Robertson, H. 1984. An Historical Survey of Lowland Raised Mires, Great Britain. Peterborough Joint Nature Conservation Committee.
The Flow Country: The peatlands of Caithness and Sutherland
Lindsay, R., Charman, D.J., Everingham, F., O'Reilly, R.M., Palmer, M.A., Rowell, T.A. and Stroud, D.A. 1988. The Flow Country: The peatlands of Caithness and Sutherland. Peterborough Joint Nature Conservation Committee.
The use of small-scale surface patterns in the classification of British Peatlands
Lindsay, R., Rigall, J. and Burd, F. 1985. The use of small-scale surface patterns in the classification of British Peatlands. Aquilo Serie Botanica.
Wind Farms and Blanket Peat - a report on the Derrybrien bog slide
Lindsay, R. and Bragg, Olivia 2005. Wind Farms and Blanket Peat - a report on the Derrybrien bog slide. Gort, Co Galway, Ireland Derrybrien Development Cooperative Ltd.
Peatbogs and carbon: a critical synthesis to inform policy development in oceanic peat bog conservation and restoration in the context of climate change.
Lindsay, R. 2010. Peatbogs and carbon: a critical synthesis to inform policy development in oceanic peat bog conservation and restoration in the context of climate change. University of East London, Environmental Research Group.
University of East London: the biodiversity evidence‐base
Freeman, Jamie, Lindsay, R., Marr, Melissa and Connop, S. 2010. University of East London: the biodiversity evidence‐base. London University of East London.