Predictive Modeling for Heatstroke Risk Forecasting Integrating Physiological Features Using Ensemble Classifier

Book chapter


Sheikh, M. M., Hossain, S. and Ahad, M. A. R. 2025. Predictive Modeling for Heatstroke Risk Forecasting Integrating Physiological Features Using Ensemble Classifier. in: Inoue, S., Lopez, G., Hossain, T. and Ahad, M. A. R. (ed.) Activity, Behavior, and Healthcare Computing CRC Press.
AuthorsSheikh, M. M., Hossain, S. and Ahad, M. A. R.
EditorsInoue, S., Lopez, G., Hossain, T. and Ahad, M. A. R.
Abstract

Heatstroke is life-threatening, with rising mortality rates attributed to increasing global temperatures. Acute discernment of heatstroke symptoms remains imperative for effective interventions. We proposed an advanced postprocessing technique to forecast heatstroke risk, enhancing machine learning algorithms based on physiological features. We implemented a cuttingedge ensemble model that amalgamates the statistical and forecasting models’ outputs. Utilizing statistical models such as Random Forest, Ada-Boost, and Support Vector Machine, we attained an accuracy of 96.19±1.6%. Employing forecasting models like Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), Seasonal ARIMA, and Prophet yielded 96.69±1.45% classification accuracy. The ensemble of statistical and forecasting models exhibited outstanding metrics, including precision of 99.16±0.15%, recall of 98.93±0.14%, and F1-score of 98.68±0.10% in thermal comfort forecasting. This groundbreaking endeavor holds promise for advancing the state-of-the-art in heatstroke prevention, augmenting the accuracy and reliability of the predictive models, and consequently, benefiting public health initiatives.

KeywordsAI; Heatstroke; Healthcare; Sensor; Thermal stress; Mental health
Book titleActivity, Behavior, and Healthcare Computing
Year2025
PublisherCRC Press
File
License
File Access Level
Anyone
Publication process dates
Accepted22 Aug 2023
Deposited27 Nov 2024
EventABC 2023: 5th International Conference on Activity and Behavior Computing
ISBN9781032639185
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)https://doi.org/10.1201/9781032648422
Web address (URL)https://www.routledge.com/9781032639185
Additional information

This is an Accepted Manuscript of a book chapter published by CRC Press in Activity, Behavior, and Healthcare Computing on [In Press], available online: https://www.routledge.com/9781032639185

Permalink -

https://repository.uel.ac.uk/item/8wz3q

Restricted files

File

  • 15
    total views
  • 2
    total downloads
  • 8
    views this month
  • 0
    downloads this month

Export as

Related outputs

Learn Programming with C: An Easy Step-by-Step Self-Practice Book for Learning C
Imran, S. M. S. and Ahad, M. A. R. 2024. Learn Programming with C: An Easy Step-by-Step Self-Practice Book for Learning C. CRC Press.
Human Identification at a Distance: Challenges, Methods and Results on the Competition HID 2024
Yu, S., Wu, W., Hu, J., Wang, Z., Wang, J., Zhang, M., Wang, R., Ni, Y., Huang, Y., Wang, L. and Ahad, M. A. R. 2024. Human Identification at a Distance: Challenges, Methods and Results on the Competition HID 2024. 2024 IEEE International Joint Conference on Biometrics (IJCB 2024). Buffalo, USA 15 - 18 Sep 2024 IEEE. https://doi.org/10.1109/IJCB62174.2024.10744507
Optimizing Endotracheal Suctioning Classification: Leveraging Prompt Engineering in Machine Learning for Feature Selection
Islam, M. R., Ferodous, A. M., Hossain, S., Alnajjar, F. and Ahad, M. 2024. Optimizing Endotracheal Suctioning Classification: Leveraging Prompt Engineering in Machine Learning for Feature Selection. ABC 2024: 6th International Conference on Activity and Behavior Computing. Kyushu, Japan 28 - 31 May 2024 IEEE.
Nurse Activity Recognition based on Temporal Frequency Features
Rahman, M. S., Rahman, H. R., Zarif, A., Pritom, Y. A. and Ahad, M. A. R. 2024. Nurse Activity Recognition based on Temporal Frequency Features. in: Ahad, M. A. R., Inoue, S., Lopez, G. and Hossain, T. (ed.) Human Activity and Behavior Analysis: Advances in Computer Vision and Sensors, Vol. 1 CRC Press: Taylor & Francis Group. pp. 311-322
A Sequential-based Analytical Approach for Nurse Care Activity Forecasting
Sheikh, M. M., Hossain, S. and Ahad, M. A. R. 2024. A Sequential-based Analytical Approach for Nurse Care Activity Forecasting. in: Ahad, M. A. R., Inoue, S., Lopez, G. and Hossain, T. (ed.) Human Activity and Behavior Analysis Advances in Computer Vision and Sensors: Volume 1 CRC Press: Taylor & Francis Group. pp. 349-368
Psychological Analysis in Human-Robot Collaboration from Workplace Stress Factors: A Review
Nahid, N., Xinyi, M., Inoue, S. and Ahad, M. A. R. 2024. Psychological Analysis in Human-Robot Collaboration from Workplace Stress Factors: A Review. in: Ahad, M. A. R., Inoue, S., Lopez, G. and Hossain, T. (ed.) Human Activity and Behavior Analysis: Advances in Computer Vision and Sensors: Volume 2 Boca Raton, Florida CRC Press: Taylor & Francis Group. pp. 165-197
Static Sign Language Recognition Using Segmented Images and HOG on Cluttered Backgrounds
Sadeghzadeh, A., Islam, B. and Ahad, M. A. R. 2024. Static Sign Language Recognition Using Segmented Images and HOG on Cluttered Backgrounds. in: Ahad, M. A. R., Inoue, S., Lopez, G. and Hossain, T. (ed.) Human Activity and Behavior Analysis: Advances in Computer Vision and Sensors: Volume 2 Boca Raton, Florida CRC Press: Taylor & Francis Group. pp. 23-45
E2ETCA: End-to-end training of CNN and attention ensembles for rice disease diagnosis
Uddin, M. Z., Mahamood, M. N., Ray, A., Pramanik, M. I., Alnajjar, F. and Ahad, M. A. R. 2024. E2ETCA: End-to-end training of CNN and attention ensembles for rice disease diagnosis. Journal of Integrative Agriculture. In Press. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jia.2024.03.075
Elderly Motion Analysis to Estimate Emotion: A Systematic Review
Hassan, I., Nahid, N., Ahad, M. and Inoue, S. 2024. Elderly Motion Analysis to Estimate Emotion: A Systematic Review. International Journal of Activity and Behavior Computing. (2), pp. 1-23. https://doi.org/10.60401/ijabc.23
Integrating Human Behavioral Model for Intimate-distance Human Robot Collaboration
Nahid, N., Hassan, I., Min, X., Ryoke, N., Ahad, M. and Inoue, S. 2024. Integrating Human Behavioral Model for Intimate-distance Human Robot Collaboration. International Journal of Activity and Behavior Computing. (2), pp. 1-26. https://doi.org/10.60401/ijabc.27
Generative AI for Recognizing Nurse Training Activities in Skeleton-Based Video Data
Mamun, M., Hossain, S., Islam, M. B. and Ahad, M. A. R. 2024. Generative AI for Recognizing Nurse Training Activities in Skeleton-Based Video Data. International Journal of Activity and Behavior Computing. 2024 (3), pp. 1-20. https://doi.org/10.60401/ijabc.34
Enhancing Nursing Activity Recognition During Endotracheal Suctioning Through Video-based Pose Estimation and Machine Learning
Islam, S., Hossain, S. M. H., Uddin, M. Z., Hossain, S. and Ahad, M. 2024. Enhancing Nursing Activity Recognition During Endotracheal Suctioning Through Video-based Pose Estimation and Machine Learning. International Journal of Activity and Behavior Computing. 2024 (3), pp. 1-15. https://doi.org/10.60401/ijabc.36
Stereoscopic Video Deblurring Transformer
Imani, H., Islam, M. B., Junayed, M, S. and Ahad, M. A R. 2024. Stereoscopic Video Deblurring Transformer. Scientific Reports. 14 (Art. 14342). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-63860-9
Learn Programming with C: An Easy Step-by-Step Self-Practice Book for Learning C
Imran, S. M. S. and Ahad, M. A. R. 2024. Learn Programming with C: An Easy Step-by-Step Self-Practice Book for Learning C. CRC Press: Taylor & Francis Group.
Deep learning with image-based autism spectrum disorder analysis: A systematic review
Uddin, M. Z., Shahriar, M. A., Mahamood, M. N., Alnajjar, F., Pramanik, M. I. and Ahad, M. A. R. 2024. Deep learning with image-based autism spectrum disorder analysis: A systematic review. Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence. 127 (Art. 107185). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.engappai.2023.107185
ASD-EVNet: An Ensemble Vision Network based on Facial Expression for Autism Spectrum Disorder Recognition
Jaby, A., Islam, M. B. and Ahad, M. A. R. 2023. ASD-EVNet: An Ensemble Vision Network based on Facial Expression for Autism Spectrum Disorder Recognition. 18th International Conference on Machine Vision and Applications (MVA). Hamamatsu, Japan 23 - 25 Jul 2023 IEEE. https://doi.org/10.23919/MVA57639.2023.10215688
Unsupervised Stereoscopic Video Style Transfer
Imani, H., Islam, M. B. and Ahad, M. A. R. 2023. Unsupervised Stereoscopic Video Style Transfer. ASYU 2023: Innovations in Intelligent Systems and Applications Conference. Sivas, Türkiye 11 - 13 Oct 2023 IEEE. https://doi.org/10.1109/ASYU58738.2023.10296716
Human Identification at a Distance: Challenges, Methods and Results on HID 2023
Yu, S., Weng, C., Zhao, Y., Wang, L., Wang, M., Li, Q., Li, W., Wang, R., Huang, Y., Wang, L., Makihara, Y. and Ahad, M. A. R. 2023. Human Identification at a Distance: Challenges, Methods and Results on HID 2023. IJCB 2023: IEEE International Joint Conference on Biometrics. Ljubljana, Slovenia 25 - 28 Sep 2023 IEEE. https://doi.org/10.1109/IJCB57857.2023.10448952
Autism Spectrum Disorder Classification via Local and Global Feature Representation of Facial Image
Mahamood, M. N., Uddin, M. Z., Shahriar, M. A., Alnajjar, F. and Ahad, M. A. R. 2023. Autism Spectrum Disorder Classification via Local and Global Feature Representation of Facial Image. SMC 2023: IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics. Hawaii, USA 01 - 04 Oct 2023 IEEE. https://doi.org/10.1109/SMC53992.2023.10394092
Annotator-dependent uncertainty-aware estimation of gait relative attributes
Shehata, A., Makihara, Y., Muramatsu, D., Ahad, M. and Yasushi, Y. 2023. Annotator-dependent uncertainty-aware estimation of gait relative attributes. Pattern Recognition. 136 (Art. 109197). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.patcog.2022.109197
Signal Processing and Computer Vision
Ahad, M. A. R. and Ahmed, M. U. 2022. Signal Processing and Computer Vision. in: Electrical and Electronic Engineering: Prospects and Challenges Dhaka University Press. pp. 159-202
HID 2022: The 3rd International Competition on Human Identification at a Distance
Yu, S., Huang, Y., Wang, L., Makihara, Y., Wang, S., Ahad, M. and Nixon, M. 2022. HID 2022: The 3rd International Competition on Human Identification at a Distance. IJCB 2022: IEEE International Joint Conference on Biometrics. Abu Dhabi, UAE 10 - 13 Dec 2023 IEEE. https://doi.org/10.1109/IJCB54206.2022.10007993
Advances in Human Action, Activity and Gesture Recognition
Mahbub, U. and Ahad, M. 2022. Advances in Human Action, Activity and Gesture Recognition. Pattern Recognition Letters. 155, pp. 186-190. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.patrec.2021.11.003
Automated detection approaches to autism spectrum disorder based on human activity analysis: A review
Rahman, S., Ahmed, S. F., Shahid, O., Arrafi, M. A. and Ahad, M. A. R. 2022. Automated detection approaches to autism spectrum disorder based on human activity analysis: A review. Cognitive Computation. 14, pp. 1773-1800. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12559-021-09895-w
A Sleep Monitoring System Using Ultrasonic Sensors
Shammi, U. A. and Ahad, M. 2022. A Sleep Monitoring System Using Ultrasonic Sensors. International Journal of Biomedical Soft Computing and Human Sciences. 27 (1), pp. 13-20. https://doi.org/10.24466/ijbschs.27.1_13
Can Ensemble of Classifiers Provide Better Recognition Results in Packaging Activity?
Nazmus Sakib, A. H. M., Basak, P., Doha Uddin, S., Mustavi Tasin, S. and Ahad, M. 2022. Can Ensemble of Classifiers Provide Better Recognition Results in Packaging Activity? ABC 2021: 3rd International Conference on Activity and Behavior Computing. Online 22 - 23 Oct 2021 Springer Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-0361-8_10
Identification of Food Packaging Activity Using MoCap Sensor Data
Anwar, A., Islam Tapotee, M., Saha, P. and Ahad, M. 2022. Identification of Food Packaging Activity Using MoCap Sensor Data. ABC 2021: 3rd International Conference on Activity and Behavior Computing. Online 22 - 23 Oct 2021 Springer Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-0361-8_11
Lunch-Box Preparation Activity Understanding from Motion Capture Data Using Handcrafted Features
Pritom, Y. A., Rahman, M. S., Rahman, H. R., Kowshik, M. A. and Ahad, M. 2022. Lunch-Box Preparation Activity Understanding from Motion Capture Data Using Handcrafted Features. ABC 2021: 3rd International Conference on Activity and Behavior Computing. Online 22 - 23 Oct 2021 Springer Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-0361-8_12
Bento Packaging Activity Recognition Based on Statistical Features
Rakib Sayem, F., Sheikh, M. M. and Ahad, M. 2022. Bento Packaging Activity Recognition Based on Statistical Features. ABC 2021: 3rd International Conference on Activity and Behavior Computing. Online 22 - 23 Oct 2021 Springer Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-0361-8_13
MUMAP: Modified Ultralightweight Mutual Authentication protocol for RFID enabled IoT networks
Raju, M. H., Ahmed, M. U. and Ahad, M. A. R. 2021. MUMAP: Modified Ultralightweight Mutual Authentication protocol for RFID enabled IoT networks. Journal of the Institute of Industrial Applications Engineers. 9 (2), pp. 33-39. https://doi.org/10.12792/JIIAE.9.33
Emotion Recognition from EEG Signal Focusing on Deep Learning and Shallow Learning Techniques
Islam, M. R., Moni, M. A., Islam, M. M., Rashed-Al-Mahfuz, M., Islam, M. S., Hasan, M. K., Hossain, M. S., Ahmad, M., Uddin, S., Azad, A., Alyami, S. A., Ahad, M. A. R. and Lió, P. 2021. Emotion Recognition from EEG Signal Focusing on Deep Learning and Shallow Learning Techniques. IEEE Access. 9, pp. 94601-94624. https://doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2021.3091487
Static Postural Transition-based Technique and Efficient Feature Extraction for Sensor-based Activity Recognition
Ahmed, M., Das Antar, A. and Ahad, M. 2021. Static Postural Transition-based Technique and Efficient Feature Extraction for Sensor-based Activity Recognition. Pattern Recognition Letters. 147, pp. 25-33. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.patrec.2021.04.001
Recognition of human locomotion on various transportations fusing smartphone sensors
Das Antar, A., Ahmed, M. and Ahad, M. 2021. Recognition of human locomotion on various transportations fusing smartphone sensors. Pattern Recognition Letters. 148, pp. 146-153. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.patrec.2021.04.015
Activity Recognition from Accelerometer Data Based on Supervised Learning for Wireless Sensor Network
Israt, F. A., Hossain, T., Inoue, S. and Ahad, M. A. R. 2021. Activity Recognition from Accelerometer Data Based on Supervised Learning for Wireless Sensor Network. International Journal of Biomedical Soft Computing and Human Sciences. 26 (2), pp. 73-86. https://doi.org/10.24466/ijbschs.26.2_73
Action recognition using Kinematics Posture Feature on 3D skeleton joint locations
Ahad, M. A. R., Ahmed, M., Antar, A. D., Makihara, Y. and Yagi. Y. 2021. Action recognition using Kinematics Posture Feature on 3D skeleton joint locations. Pattern Recognition Letters. 145, pp. 216-224. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.patrec.2021.02.013
Exploring Human Activities Using eSense Earable Device
Islam, M. S., Hossain, T., Ahad, M. and Inoue, S. 2021. Exploring Human Activities Using eSense Earable Device. in: Ahad, M., Inoue, S., Roggen, D. and Fujinami, K. (ed.) Activity and Behavior Computing Springer Singapore. pp. 169–185
Contactless Human Monitoring: Challenges and Future Direction
Mahbub, U., Rahman, T. and Ahad, M. 2021. Contactless Human Monitoring: Challenges and Future Direction. in: Ahad, M., Mahbub, U. and Ahad, M. (ed.) Contactless Human Activity Analysis Springer, Cham. pp. 335-364
Contactless Human Emotion Analysis Across Different Modalities
Nahid, N., Rahman, A. and Ahad, M. 2021. Contactless Human Emotion Analysis Across Different Modalities. in: Ahad, M., Mahbub, U. and Rahman, T. (ed.) Contactless Human Activity Analysis Springer, Cham. pp. 237-269
Contactless Fall Detection for the Elderly
Nahian, M. J. A., Raju, M. H., Tasnim, Z., Mahmud, M., Ahad, M. and Kaiser, M. S. 2021. Contactless Fall Detection for the Elderly. in: Ahad, M., Mahbub, U. and Rahman, T. (ed.) Contactless Human Activity Analysis Springer, Cham. pp. 203-235
Signal Processing for Contactless Monitoring
Billah, M. S., Ahad, M. and Mahbub, U. 2021. Signal Processing for Contactless Monitoring. in: Ahad, M., Mahbub, U. and Rahman, T. (ed.) Contactless Human Activity Analysis Springer, Cham. pp. 113-144
Skeleton-Based Activity Recognition: Preprocessing and Approaches
Sarker, S., Rahman, S., Hossain, T., Faiza Ahmed, S., Jamal, L. and Ahad, M. 2021. Skeleton-Based Activity Recognition: Preprocessing and Approaches. in: Ahad, M., Mahbub, U. and Rahman, T. (ed.) Contactless Human Activity Analysis Springer, Cham. pp. 48-81
IoT Sensor-Based Activity Recognition: Human Activity Recognition
Ahad, M., Antar, A. D. and Ahmed, M. 2021. IoT Sensor-Based Activity Recognition: Human Activity Recognition. Springer, Cham.
A Method for Sensor-Based Activity Recognition in Missing Data Scenario
Hossain, T., Ahad, M. A. R. and Inoue, S. 2020. A Method for Sensor-Based Activity Recognition in Missing Data Scenario. Sensors. 20 (14), pp. 1-23. https://doi.org/10.3390/s20143811
An AI-based Visual Aid with Integrated Reading Assistant for the Completely Blind
Khan, M. A., Paul, P., Rashid, M., Hossain, M. and Ahad, M. 2020. An AI-based Visual Aid with Integrated Reading Assistant for the Completely Blind. IEEE Transactions on Human-Machine Systems. 50 (6), pp. 507-517. https://doi.org/10.1109/THMS.2020.3027534